"pertumbuhan ekonomi dibelahan dunia yang seperti melemah dan dergulasi global seperti kurang berpihak pada kontribusi bagi pengusaha kecil akhirnya pertumbuhan ekonomi berjalan tidak seimbang, bahkan mengarah pada pelemahan bangkitnya usahawan kecil baru. hal ini terlihat diseluruh dunia bahkan tampilnya para pengusaha baru dan bangkitnya pengusaha kecil yang laban menandakan debit perputaran sirkulasi pertumbuhan ekonomi seperti lamban." Demi8kian ungkap andri luntungan pengamat International, saat diminta tanggapannya mengenai melemahnya perekonomian Indonesia, siang tadi, Andri juga mengatakan mengauatnya nilai tukar dolar terhadap rupiah, seharusnya oleh semua usahawan perlu disikapi fudamental ekonomi indonesia akan bisa bertahan berapa lama,dan sejauh apa devisa Indonesia yang saat ini tersimpan.? Okey segalanya telah terlihat jelas dan kekuatan dolar AS yang meluncur begitu hebat hingga menembus diatas 12 ribu per dolar AS, membuktikan bahwa keberadaan Indonesia seperti rapuh fudamental ekonominya.Satu -satunya jalan Indonesia harus mampuh menahan dolar tetap berada didalam kas dan warga kalau bisa segera dihimbau buat bisa menahan uangnya agar tidak pergi kepada negara Industri. Artinya simpan uang sekuat mungkin kurangi konsumtifitas, jika perlu lepaskan rupiah sebesar mungkin dan tahan dolar sebanyak mungkin.Cetus Andri. Dia juga melihat melemahnya rupiah terhadap dolar AS, setidaknya oleh sebab kontribusi rupiah bagi warga dunia masih lemah dan Indonesia sendiri lemah dalam pertumbuhan Indisutrinya dan ditambah juga konsumtifitas warga terhadap produk asing tidak dapat tercegah akhirnya sirkulasi uang lebih cepat tersedot kepada negara yang memiliki Industri.Terbukti melemahnya rupiah bisa disebabkan bagi mereka yang memegang rupiah tidak aman dan mungkin rupiah dimata dunia tidak berpeluang untuk kuat akhirnya tidak sedikit orang membuang rupiah ditukar dengan dolar dan taruh diluar IIndonesia, seandainya prilaku itu terus dibiarkan bisa dibayangkan? Dan diwaktu dekat tidak menyuop kemungkinan persedian dolar akan menipis. Senadainya dolar didlam negara Indonesia habis kira-kira seperti apa.?. Cetus Andri. "Melihat seperti ini sepertinya jika nantinya terus menerus keberadaan rupiah terus terseok-seok atau terus rendah dan mungkin nanti bisa sampai pada level 20 ribu per dolar AS, setidaknya sebuah kehancuran. Melihat kemunginan ini saya hanya bisa berharap kepada semua pengusaha di IIndonesia Jangan dulu membuang dolarnya terlalu jauh, jika perlu pertahankan dolar didalam divisa, dan jadikan iru sebagai modal, dan kurang i pembelian kepada negara Industri atau hindari kosumtifitas. Atau7 jika perlu uang yang tersimpan diluarsana tarik kembali masukan kedalam negara indonesia mungkin hal seperti itu akan dapat mengurangi Devisit dan krisis.Katanya.Ditempat yang – Presiden Joko Widodo menilai pelemahan rupiah terhadap dolar AS juga berdampak pada situasi ekonomi dunia. Namun, Jokowi mengaku pemerintah tidak bisa mengubah kondisi apa pun. Berdasarkan data akhir pekan ini, nilai tukar rupiah menembus Rp13.257 per dolar. Kondisi itu mempengaruhi kenaikan harga di banyak sektor lainnya, mulai dari pangan hingga pariwisata. Dikatakan Presiden, kondisi makro ekonomi global seperti ini memang dialami oleh semuanya Mantan wali kota Surakarta itu ingin agar dolar berada di bawah Rp12.500. Namun, karena kondisi makro ekonomi global, Jokowi tak mampu mengubah situasi yang sedang terjadi. Jokowi menjelaskan, Pemerintah dan BI sudah mengambil kebijakan. Meskipun, Presiden tidak ingin membocorkan kebijakan seperti apa yang sudah dilakukannya. Saat ini, ditegaskan Jokowi, pemerintah
The latest Employment Situation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows weekly employee earnings have grown $75 since tax reform passed, well short of the $4,000 to $9,000 annual increases projected by President Trump
Donald John TrumpRobert De Niro, Ben Stiller play Mueller and Cohen in 'SNL' parody of 'Meet the Parents' Trump order targets wide swath of public assistance programs Comey says Trump reacted to news of Russian meddling by asking if it changed election results MORE and House Speaker Paul Ryan
Paul Davis RyanTrump order targets wide swath of public assistance programs Sunday shows preview: White House officials talk Syria strike Wage growth well short of what was promised from tax reform MORE (R-Wis.).
During the three months following passage of the tax bill, the average American saw a $6.21 increase in average weekly earnings. Assuming 12 weeks of work during the three months following passage of the corporate tax cuts, this equates to a $75 increase.
Assuming a full 52 weeks of work, the $6.21 increase in weekly earnings would result in a $323 annual increase, nowhere near the minimum $4,000 promised and $9,000 potential annual increases projected by President Trump and Speaker Ryan if significant cuts were made to corporate tax rates.
Unless something drastically changes, it seems that Americans are going to have to settle for much less than the $4,000 to $9,000 projected wage increases. An extra $322 a year isn’t going to do much to pay down the $1 trillion in additional debt they are projected to take on as a result of the tax cuts.
Yet, a key part of the argument for the recently passed corporate tax cuts and more than a trillion dollars in debt was the substantial wage hike promised by the president’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA).
From a document titled, “Corporate Tax Reform and Wages: Theory and Evidence,” on the White House’s website:
“Reducing the statutory federal corporate tax rate from 35 to 20 percent would, the analysis below suggests, increase average household income in the United States by, very conservatively, $4,000 annually.”
The document goes on to say:
“When we use the more optimistic estimates from the literature, wage boosts are over $9,000 for the average U.S. household.”
No less than Speaker Ryan’s website trumpeted the Council of Economic Advisers report claiming that on average, the proposed corporate tax cuts would result in at least a $4,000 annual increase in wages.
Now, some supporters of the tax bill may say this analysis is unfair because it is too early for the effects of the tax bill to show up in wages. By that logic, they also shouldn’t take credit for reported employment growth increases.
Still others may point to the $1,000 bonuses announced by some companies shortly after passage of the tax bill. First, that is significantly less than the promised $4,000 to $9,000. Second, these are not wage increases; these are one-time bonuses.
Will companies pay them again, and if so when? Third, the $1,000 represents a fraction of the estimated potential company tax savings.
Using 2016 net income, 2016 effective tax rates, the new 21-percent corporate tax rate and company bonuses, we estimated company bonuses as a percentage of a number of company’s potential tax savings. The results: In many cases, the bonuses represent a mere pittance of the possible tax savings.
Navient announced that it would be giving $1,000 bonuses to 98 percent of its 6,7000 employees, paying out nearly $7 million in bonuses. While that may seem generous, it pales in comparison to Navient’s potential tax savings.
Using Navient’s 2016 net income, its 2016 effective tax rate, estimated annual tax savings of nearly $200 million and its announced bonuses, we calculated that the announced bonuses represent less than 4 percent of Navient’s potential tax savings.
Turning to the airline industry, JetBlue’s employees might be feeling blue if they realized that their $1,000 bonuses are estimated to be less than 10 percent of JetBlue’s potential tax savings, while American Airlines’ bonuses are estimated to represent less than 15 percent of its estimated potential annual tax savings
Not to be outdone, Comcast’s bonuses represent less than 8 percent of its estimated potential annual tax savings, while Walmart appears downright generous, giving an estimated $0.16 of every dollar of its estimated potential annual tax savings to employees in the form of bonuses.
Source: Solutionomics
What happened to the minimum $4,000 promised? I guess like many promises by politicians, they were empty. Instead, they seem to have gone to share buybacks. For the period December 2017 through February 2018, share buybacks more than doubled to $200 million.
Is a $323 wage increase and a one-time bonus of $1,000 that represents a fraction of estimated potential company tax savings worth the more than $1 trillion in additional debt placed on Americans? Is this the best Congress could do? No.
Instead, Congress could have simply made each company’s tax cut contingent on each company increasing wages. The problem is that some companies receiving tax cuts didn’t raise wages.
If Congress had made each company’s tax cut contingent on each company’s wage increases, the American people would have gotten more bang for their tax cut bucks. Additionally, this would have created a real incentive for companies to raise wages: Increase wages, get a tax cut; don’t and you won’t.
If the justification for saddling the American people with at least $1 trillion in additional debt was greater wage growth, tax cuts should have been tied to each company’s wage growth; that’s just logical. That’s getting a better deal for the American people, and that’s getting a better return on investment.
Chris Macke is the founder of Solutionomics, a think tank focused on developing solutions for a more efficient, merit-based corporate tax code. He has advised the U.S. Federal Reserve by providing market updates and implications of monetary policy changes on asset valuations and market distortions, and he's a contributor to the Fed Beige Book. Find him on Twitter: @solutionomics.
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