"Pertumbuhan ekonomi dari tahun 2010 sampai saat sekarang dimata dunia belum terlihat ada getaran yang menojol, ini terjadi sejak timbul krisis ditahun 98,2003,2010 sapai dengan 2015,seluruh dunia pertumbuhan ekonominya belum terlihat bahkan ini terjadi juga di benua negara besar, Ingris, German, Francis, Amerika, Rusia, dan di asia Timur IraQ, Turki, Serbia, Yaman Libia, dan negara timur tengah lainya, begitu juga di Asia, Jepang Korea, utara, korea selatan, Indonesia India, Lain lagi dengan Tiongkok, dinegara itu justru memiliki devisa besar bahkan saat ini mereka masih memiliki devisa mencapai 8 Triliunan Dolar AS.". Okey jika Tiongkok sudah bisa memilki devisa begitu besar dan Mereka dapat menganggarkan meiliternya kedua dari negara-negara besar, setidaknya bahwa Tiongkok disini bisa membuktikan bahwa negara mereka adalah memiliki kesetabilan ekonomi yang layak, sementara itu pertumbuhan ekonomi eropa yang memiliki kekebalan Dari krisis, termasuk America, dan Ingris juga prancis dan Rusia, justru terlihat pertumbuhan ekonominya tidak secepat yang dirapkan.Mereka juga baru mampuh naik sekitar 6 dijit, dari pertumbuhan yang diharapkan.artinya pertumbuhan 6 dijit jika diakumulatih dengan jumlah broto devisa yang ada didalam negara setidaknya belum seberapa, dan secara makro setidaknya belum dapat mendongkrak prekonomian dunia, dan kebijakan dana moneter terhadap pembiyaan ekonomi dunia jika pertumbuhan hanya berkisar naik 6 dijit setidaknya sulit bisa mendongkrak perekonomian dunia.okey sekarang bisa dirasakan oleh semua seperti apa pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia saat ini?. perkiraan sementara tidak sedikit negara piutang yang telat buat membayar suku bungah pinjaman terhadap dana monetr international. Cetus Andri Luntungan Pengamat International saat dimintai tanggapannya mengenai Pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia yang lemban. Andri juga mengatakan bagaimana kita pernah merasakan krisis ditahun 98 dan saat itu Indonesia mampuh melalui masa -masa itu, dan bagaimana juga ditahun 2010 dimana krisis dunia pernah terjadi, dan disana terjadi pertemuan lembaga-lembaga besar apa dia G7, G8, dan juga ditambah dengan G20, dalam pertemuan di UN PBB, bagaman didalam pembahasan itu, buat mencoba memulihkan pertumbuhan ekonomi dunia, dan dengan trans paransi Tiongkok disaat itu setuju melempar divisanya sebesar 1.Triliunan dolar, buat membantu kondisi krisis saat itu.Okey sekarang mulai terlihat ada pertumbhan ekonomi dunia, dari Amerika, German, Ingris, Francis, Jepang, Dan Rusia, ditambah juga Polandia, dan Yordania dan Arab, Tetapi persoalannya bukan itu, tetapi kapitalisasi yang membuat rontoknya prekonomian dunia, setidaknya perlu disoroti dan semua harus berani menolak sisitim kapitalisasi, dan semua harus sepakat bisa mengikis habis kapitalisasi."Seperti di Indonesia seandainya kapitalisasi dibiarkan dia menguasai segala lini jangan harap pertumbuhan ekonomi akan bisa cepat bangkit.?". Mungkin semua harus punya keberanian mengikis habis kapitalisasi, dan kembali bangkitkan perekonomian rakyat, seperti permodalan industri Home, Industri kecil, dan perbanyak pasar tradisional, disetiap daerah,kurangi juga menjaumrnya supermarket. disetiap kabupaten, dan cegah juga masuknya fanen-fanen masuk ketingkat kabupaten.oleh sebab mereka masuk tidak memberikan napas warga tetapi mereka masuk justru seperti lintah darat.Maaf semua ini saya katakan oleh sebab semua tahu bahwa setiap tahun didaerah selalu kehabisan uang, oleh sebab uang mereka tersedot bagi para pengusaha besar yang dibelikan seperti mencil mobil, membelanjakan uangnya di super market. sementara produk didlam daerah itu jarang sekali mereka mau beli atau sentuh akhirnya, prekonomian tidak ombang.Maksudnya uang tertarik oleh spermarket, oleh cicilan kridit motor mobil dan belanja produk-produk yang tidak berguna. yang didatangkan dari luar seperti mesin cuci, TV, Radio HP, Pulsa dan banyak lagi produk-produk yang minim asli dari dalam negri akhirnya terasa sekali setiap tahun keuangan daerah kering."Bayangkan seandainya keuangan daerah kering, bagaiman mereka bisa membantu devisa negara.?". Terlepas semua itu, ada lagi, yang sangant ironis, bayangkan seandainya kendaraan roda dua yang berjumlah mencapai 70 juta kendaraan, dan mereka semua bergerak dan setiap hari membakar bensin 1 liter bearti satu hari membakr bensin 70 juta liter. dan bagaiman dengan roda empat yang saat ini katanya sudah mencapai 40 juta, kendaraan senadainya setiap hari mereka berjalan dengan mengunakan bensin 5 liter berati setiap bensin terbakar,200 juta liter."Coba jika dikalikan dengan uang bayangkan berapa j miliard uang terbakar dan belum lagi dari Pulsa.seandainya per hari warga mengunakan pulasa bisa mencapai 1000 per kartu dan jumlah pelangan Mentari 50 juta, Simpati 60 juta, Mtri 58 juta, As. 70 juta.Bayangkan berapa uang yang telah disedot. mereka, belum lagi suku cadang HP, Dan kendaraan, dan TV, dan lainya. tolong dihitung berapa besar uang yang telah terbuang dari ndonesia.Belum lagi alat -alat kosmetik, dan pakain dan parfum, dan perhiasan. artinya uang daerah dan uang negara habis sebenarnya oleh warganya sendiri semenatara produktivitas warga yang sering membuang uang mereka tidak mampuh bisa menarik kembali uang itu. Cetus Andri, "Harapan saya melihat keberadaan melemahnya rupiah di Negara Indonesia adalah tanggung jawab semua, tidak hanya sebatas menanti gebrakan pemerintah. katanya.
The latest Employment Situation report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows weekly employee earnings have grown $75 since tax reform passed, well short of the $4,000 to $9,000 annual increases projected by President Trump
Donald John TrumpRobert De Niro, Ben Stiller play Mueller and Cohen in 'SNL' parody of 'Meet the Parents' Trump order targets wide swath of public assistance programs Comey says Trump reacted to news of Russian meddling by asking if it changed election results MORE and House Speaker Paul Ryan
Paul Davis RyanTrump order targets wide swath of public assistance programs Sunday shows preview: White House officials talk Syria strike Wage growth well short of what was promised from tax reform MORE (R-Wis.).
During the three months following passage of the tax bill, the average American saw a $6.21 increase in average weekly earnings. Assuming 12 weeks of work during the three months following passage of the corporate tax cuts, this equates to a $75 increase.
Assuming a full 52 weeks of work, the $6.21 increase in weekly earnings would result in a $323 annual increase, nowhere near the minimum $4,000 promised and $9,000 potential annual increases projected by President Trump and Speaker Ryan if significant cuts were made to corporate tax rates.
Unless something drastically changes, it seems that Americans are going to have to settle for much less than the $4,000 to $9,000 projected wage increases. An extra $322 a year isn’t going to do much to pay down the $1 trillion in additional debt they are projected to take on as a result of the tax cuts.
Yet, a key part of the argument for the recently passed corporate tax cuts and more than a trillion dollars in debt was the substantial wage hike promised by the president’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA).
From a document titled, “Corporate Tax Reform and Wages: Theory and Evidence,” on the White House’s website:
“Reducing the statutory federal corporate tax rate from 35 to 20 percent would, the analysis below suggests, increase average household income in the United States by, very conservatively, $4,000 annually.”
The document goes on to say:
“When we use the more optimistic estimates from the literature, wage boosts are over $9,000 for the average U.S. household.”
No less than Speaker Ryan’s website trumpeted the Council of Economic Advisers report claiming that on average, the proposed corporate tax cuts would result in at least a $4,000 annual increase in wages.
Now, some supporters of the tax bill may say this analysis is unfair because it is too early for the effects of the tax bill to show up in wages. By that logic, they also shouldn’t take credit for reported employment growth increases.
Still others may point to the $1,000 bonuses announced by some companies shortly after passage of the tax bill. First, that is significantly less than the promised $4,000 to $9,000. Second, these are not wage increases; these are one-time bonuses.
Will companies pay them again, and if so when? Third, the $1,000 represents a fraction of the estimated potential company tax savings.
Using 2016 net income, 2016 effective tax rates, the new 21-percent corporate tax rate and company bonuses, we estimated company bonuses as a percentage of a number of company’s potential tax savings. The results: In many cases, the bonuses represent a mere pittance of the possible tax savings.
Navient announced that it would be giving $1,000 bonuses to 98 percent of its 6,7000 employees, paying out nearly $7 million in bonuses. While that may seem generous, it pales in comparison to Navient’s potential tax savings.
Using Navient’s 2016 net income, its 2016 effective tax rate, estimated annual tax savings of nearly $200 million and its announced bonuses, we calculated that the announced bonuses represent less than 4 percent of Navient’s potential tax savings.
Turning to the airline industry, JetBlue’s employees might be feeling blue if they realized that their $1,000 bonuses are estimated to be less than 10 percent of JetBlue’s potential tax savings, while American Airlines’ bonuses are estimated to represent less than 15 percent of its estimated potential annual tax savings
Not to be outdone, Comcast’s bonuses represent less than 8 percent of its estimated potential annual tax savings, while Walmart appears downright generous, giving an estimated $0.16 of every dollar of its estimated potential annual tax savings to employees in the form of bonuses.
Source: Solutionomics
What happened to the minimum $4,000 promised? I guess like many promises by politicians, they were empty. Instead, they seem to have gone to share buybacks. For the period December 2017 through February 2018, share buybacks more than doubled to $200 million.
Is a $323 wage increase and a one-time bonus of $1,000 that represents a fraction of estimated potential company tax savings worth the more than $1 trillion in additional debt placed on Americans? Is this the best Congress could do? No.
Instead, Congress could have simply made each company’s tax cut contingent on each company increasing wages. The problem is that some companies receiving tax cuts didn’t raise wages.
If Congress had made each company’s tax cut contingent on each company’s wage increases, the American people would have gotten more bang for their tax cut bucks. Additionally, this would have created a real incentive for companies to raise wages: Increase wages, get a tax cut; don’t and you won’t.
If the justification for saddling the American people with at least $1 trillion in additional debt was greater wage growth, tax cuts should have been tied to each company’s wage growth; that’s just logical. That’s getting a better deal for the American people, and that’s getting a better return on investment.
Chris Macke is the founder of Solutionomics, a think tank focused on developing solutions for a more efficient, merit-based corporate tax code. He has advised the U.S. Federal Reserve by providing market updates and implications of monetary policy changes on asset valuations and market distortions, and he's a contributor to the Fed Beige Book. Find him on Twitter: @solutionomics.
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